Its time for another super speedway race and lots of wrecks! Therefore we can try our best to avoid negative place differential points but ultimately need to get lucky that we have 6 drivers finish the race today.
I wanted to drop off the views that I have for now and if time permits will update them as we get closer to the race start.
Odds vs Situations
Note that I didnt find any practice times this week. I will say that finishing position is the key to this race. roughly 50-60 points per driver will do and place differential plus top 10 finishes are ideal to get that.
Logano, Bell, Buescher and Aric are the names that appear to bring out my interest early.
Leverage
Todd Gililand is intruiging - highly optimal but not highly owned today, and starting towards the back.
Optimal percentages are something I will look at a little bit but its more difficult to trust this week as a wreck negates any optimal chances. However we have to choose from some baseline right? Elliot in the back is interesting and chalky. William Byron is a name I will say secondly because of his leverage in the midrange of the track.
Last year's optimal
I take interest in the starting positions of these guys, and the amount of salary used. Last year many people hit the optimal lineup in gpps for that reason. I think that is a rare case at this race so yolo if you use all your salary. However starting guys outside of the top 10 is something that carries weight. Elliot finished in the top 10 last year after starting in the rear so thats also interesting. He was like 60% owned too.
In addition to the lack of top 10 drivers, no one in this lineup started in the bottom 30, and that is also interesting strategy wise.
Comentários