This week, we are in Richmond with 400 laps which screams dominators. Lets pick the right ones and the right leverage today because we need to get back to big money finishes in these tournaments and GPPs.
Last Updated: 12:24 CST
Odds and Situations
Take a look at the scatter plot and the surrounding tables here. 3 guys with similar ceilings in this race (Busch/Byron/Harvick) and Harvick is on the top rope. Similar odds, similar ceilings, similar ownership so not much we can do here. There is no practice to work from so that is just a decision point to make today. Denny Hamlin is a little less owned but showing the lowest expectations for ownership for a guy who has 4th best odds to win. His position makes him a tough play but if you want to get different up top, maybe thats the best way to do so.
On the right, top dominator list shows Byron with the most potential to lead laps and he starts in 3rd place so hes probably important to me today.
Leverage wise, Cindric and Buescher both stand out a bit, although they lack value. They are starting close to the front next to each other in a dead mans zone, but if they can lead some laps, that can shoot you up a leaderboard. That requires getting around Byron so I think they are tall orders today.
Race notes
As mentioned, one or two of these guys up front have the ability to get well over 100 pts from laps led today, which overrides place differential today, unless a bottom 30 starter finishes in the top 10 or leads laps in addition to that.
Leverage Spots
I believe I will have at least 2 dominators in every lineup I build today. With laps led, it is more of a predictable race unless someone wrecks or has car trouble so I will plan for some chalk in my lineups. Where I get different is still unknown as of this writing at 10:30 CST, but that will change leading up to race time. Tyler Reddick and Christopher Bell are two drivers I may look into squeezing into lineups just from data point perspective, but getting a low owned play is still something I'm trying to figure out. Cory Lajoe? Starting middle of the pack so place differential might pan out for him at the price point. It seems his driver skill is up as well.
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