Lets see what we have to work with this week! Just a data dump this week but comment and ping me on twitter if you have questions about the data insights here.
Odds and Situations
Looks like Xander is the clear cut top dog to be beat per the odds. Patrick Rodgers has the leverage hand, for better or worse. Names like Lee HOdges and Ryo showing on the cheap end of the value picks. Surprising on the tables, Justin Thomas has the most upside of the field, and Burns has the most positive history showing.
Core but Leveraged
Only one name showing and thats Adam Hadwin who checks all the boxes. He does have a top 10 here with roughly 10% expected ownership.
Expected Wins vs Actual Wins
My favorite chart is back! I see that Xander is overdue a win and hes in the field with monster odds. I may lock him in this week even at 25% ownership.If he busts this week, I will continue playing him til he wins. Brian Harman right behind him in expected wins. Hoffman would be the 3rd best of the list, as Taylor and Olesen already have wins.
Course Fits (datagolf)
With thin fairways, driving accuracy will be important this week, in addition to Approach and around the green. I probably wont play anyone who averages less than 55% DA this week.
Underowned Plays
This is my short list right now of plays that make some sense going into this week. Underowned, leverage, and somewhat accurate drivers with value. Good luck for now!
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