I'll probably sleep through tonight's game but we do have Broncos vs Patriots tonight in Denver. Lets see what the numbers say.
Salary vs Expectations
Russell Looks to have the highest upside, while Elliot shows the highest ownership projected. The Patriots appear to have the most value plays on the slate so my lean is to build a lineup with 4 of them, despite being road underdogs.
Vegas Projections
I hve the game going over, but there is some form of weather that may hold it back. I also have New England covering their vegas expectations so if that happens, high chance the game goes over 35.5.
Game Script:
Both teams appear to have positive game scripts expected. Denver likely in the passing game, and New England likely in the run game. I peeked at oline and dline matchups and both teams should have good run blocking. Only Denver is expected to have good pass blocking.
Defense vs Receivers
I see that Denver's top WR option may get taken away by the defense, which means if playing Russ, it is likely going to be good to target a 2nd or 3rd receiving option. TEs have also struggled vs New England. New England should have more options, including TE vs Denver, who ranks last against TE. Henry is out so maybe that is Mike G.
When Denver has the ball:
Russ and Will Lutz are both leveraged captain options. Javonte Williams can be captain based on his usage in the offense, but then you would want to find extra leverage elsewhere to make up for the lack of leverage in playing him.
When New England has the ball:
A couple options can give you leverage at captain for New England. Possibly Douglas, Parker and Zappe and the Kicker are all captain viable for leverage. These numbers will change with ownership closer to lock.
Fanduel
It seems either Wilson or Elliot are the two to choose from on Fanduel for MVP.
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