This will be a brief look at what's happening in PGA this week from and odds and leverage perspective. Lets go.
Odds vs Salary
Looking at things, Xander leads this field in price, odds, and possibly ownership as well. Mid tier, Min Woo Lee seems to stick out for the cost, and then the cheap 7K range really is all over the place with lots of names showing up. Smalley may be the cheapest guy on the field here of interest. From the tables below, Cantlay and Aberg have higher upside, and so my top play up top may be Cantlay this week.
Core but Leveraged Plays
I may consider 1 - 2 guys here for a lineup. Berger is just now coming back from a long layoff but didnt do terrible last week. Rai is gonna end up being interesting due to his low ownership.
Course Fits
Seems that both courses can favor distance, but the south course is extremely long and requires some good putting. The North course, just simply requires birdies to get ahead before hitting the South course.
History Minus Last Year
Luke List has done well here in past years, at least from a top 20 perspective. Justin Rose and Will Z might be course fits as well, but i see risk on playing both of them at the same time.
Leverage
When it comes to the South course, scoring will be much more difficult and so the North course birdie makers will end up being key. That makes Eric Cole interesting this week to me at half the ownership of some plays on the board, such as Min Woo Lee (who happens to be a great course fit for the south course).
Optimal Pivots
These six names would be the ones that are the most intriguing. Cant make a lineup out of them all, but maybe some course pieces to the pivot crowd.
Optimal vs Odds
Trying to find some core guys I would trust; Cantlay, Beau, Schenk, Rodgers and Jaeger are prolly them. Good luck!
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