Seems like quite a bit more expected violence than usual! May pop this one on TV.
Last Updated: 3:45PM CST
Seems Romanov will be popular, but not quite popular enough to keep me off the play. Them win odds are ridiculously high for the slate. Then you can take a shot at Barber for leverage, although he doesnt show up as an 'optimal' play very often. Will I play him? Of course I will!
Then we can see how things fall into place here in terms of value. You will need an underdog or 3 to win a gpp. Maybe worth a Lemos shot or a Jordan Wright.
Now to see where the optimal plays are at
Clearly some popular play will go down or miss value and take half the field with them. Key is to figure out which one(s) will do that and fade them.
Looking ahead at the size disadvantages, I only see 2 significant reach advantages on the card:
Will they do anything with them?
Live dogs:
These 3 appear to have the most upside if they win per my projections. Thats 'IF' they win. Any loss is burnt toast on your lineup.
Finally the deep dive into the plot
The plays above the line have the most value. The greener the dot, the more leverage. I circled a couple intruiging plays in each group.
Good luck and thanks for coming by!
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