On Mondays, I like to take a look back and what happened the day before and figure out whether or not there was a path to playing the optimal and/or the top winning lineup from my dashboard tools. Lets see just how close we were to the nuts (no homo). This is the optimal lineup:
It is crazy to me that draftkings scoring is built in a way in which the guy who wins the race can score less than the guys who led laps in some cases. In fact, if you watch my twitter feed you would have seen that I was heavily on Denny Hamlin. In the final few laps he pulled ahead and won the race. Problem is that there were 400 laps and points for laps led were huge for William Byron and Martin Truex (who I also touted as a pivot over Ryan Blaney). Just something to keep in mind for other dom heavy courses. Here is the top lineup built (which was a tie). Here is the top lineup build below. Moving into the other plays here, I feel like everyone could be accounted for to some degree (see dashboard at the bottom of this post)
Interestingly enough, the overall winning lineup went Blaney and keslowski over Truex and Dillion, and tied for 1st with their chalky efforts. I get it, no one is complaining about a 70,000 win unless you entered 70,000 in entries. However this guy lost $70k for eating the chalk up top basically. Lets look at how the optimal plays fell in my chart and individual table lists
The one play that I would suggest was toughest to get to yesterday was Austin Dillion. Thats only because he didnt show up in any of these lists. However he did show up on/above the value line here. Him having that much ownership kept him off some lists. When I ran optimal percentages though, I will say he is higher up on that list too as far as who had the highest odds of being optimal.
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