Gotta keep finding them ways to be different and hope that being different pays off this time.
Odds vs Situations
Kinda wild to see Mayfield as the top candidate for workloads this week. Not to say he should or shouldnt be captain. It does mean that you probably want him no matter what based on his usage over 4 weeks. Ray Ray has been lingering value but not always paying off; infact sometimes punching folks. Then Cade right by him in work. On the cheap end, Kameron Johnson is interesting too. Will peek at snap counts to understand that as I dont know who that is.
Vegas
Interestingly I have this game projected at 22-22 when rounding to the nearest point. That is very close to Vegas totals and barely means that Tampa should cover the spread although too close to bet that. I dont believe underdogs have been successful all year in showdown stacks on island games but I feel like thats what I like to do and might if leverage aligns.
Defense vs Recievers
TB has been solid in most places except for pass catching RBs, which makes both Bijan and Allgeier interesting. Bijan usage is quite high so I'd lean his way if possible. Tampa WR1 and WR3 both have some shots possible at working out. Godwin has had more targets this year but I believe Mike Evans is the first read.
When diving in a little further, I imagine Godwin is going to run more slot routes/up the middle so maybe he is the way here.
Not seeing anything dangerous in pass protection, although I am not anticipating Atl to have any pass pressure today.
When ATL has the ball:
I look for leverage at captain that makes sense and Bijan, Kirk or London could all be it, with a lean on Bijan due to the previous chart. I'd also take Drake before Kirk if going with the passing game. Ray Ray is flex worthy and so is the kicker Koo.
When TAM has the ball:
I see Baker and Godwin as viable captain plays today with maybe a lean on Baker. Godwin vs Evans has always given me issues in the charts. Bucky looks like a better flex play than White, and then deep sea diving with Shepard or Johnson makes sense today too.
Oh Snaps
This chart is literally only useful to me when looking for the cheap guys getting playing time. I believe McMillian is out, so thats why Shepard and Johnson are viable. Shepard is playing more than Johnson for what its worth.
Opportunity Knockin
These guys have had opportunity this year but havent fully recognized it, whether its via drops or penalties or something else. I may build an Atlanta stack and see what happens.
I will add insights as I find them!
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