Just some quick notes for tonight as I have a few things being worked on.
Odds vs Salary
Looks like Burrow has the highest odds on the chart for getting right. I sorta hope they do go off today as I'm tired of Bengals fans interrogating every Chiefs play for bad referee calls. Nonethless, he is going to be a lock play since he isnt the highest owned or priced imo.
Vegas Totals
I have both games going slightly under the implied total, however I'm kinda surprised to ee that Washington could potentially give Cincinnati a problem. Therefore my initial gut is to fade Jacksonville for Washington value as a leverage move if it makes sense in the player lists.
RBs
Guess Ettienne's workload has been pretty cool this year. If Jacksonville sucks though that may be difficult to play towards at the price point. We will need to see whats available but he isnt my first priority. Zack Moss might be intruiging though.
WRs
Josh Allen appears to be slightly overpriced for his workload but otherwise going to focus in on WRs today and show this. Chase is expecting high ownership but also may be overpriced. Interestingly the two WRs after him in the pecking order look like they could be value so there is another pivot opportunity, unless the Bengals use this game to fix themselves, and therefore fix Chase. Also noting the dot on Noah Brown is intriguing too.
Update: Higgins is back so lets see how much usage he gets today. That will remove one of the Irwins or Andreis from this chart, and likely drop both of their usage values.
Also shout out to Gabe Davis on the revenge narrative.
Washington is absolutely horrible through 2 weeks on defense so if the Bengals cant put up 25-30 pts against them, they have bigger issues than the Chiefs this year. Every position except TE has been available to opposing QBs, and that could be simply because they dont need to go there. The WR1 runback is also interesting with McClaurin.
Oline vs Dline
And now I see why this might be close. If the Bengals O-line cant block washington out, then this game is interesting. On the surface it should be a blowout but I will take whatever chances I can with this one.
Projections
Welp we have some interesting decisions to make from this list. I am going to likely mix and match WRs, take a shot on some Washington players and then pray!
Buffalo Vs Jax Value
If game stacking, I see some level of value available down to the TE Strange. I feel like TEs are tough to come by so just maybe that one can get you the 5 pts hes worth. also noting I think that Trevor Lawrence on the two game slate could go underowned if hes actually less than 10%.
Cincinatti vs Washington
I think my lean if taking a WR3 in Cinci wil be with Iosivas. It is just too difficult to come by low owned plays with potential in a 2 game setting.
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