While I wont be able to produce this article every week, its been doing pretty well at finding the right plays. Just gotta figure out how to put them together in a lineup! Lets get started.
Salary based Usage
I'll start here because I like to come to my own conclusions for build purposes and that is based on usage. Up top both WR1s and both QBs are relatively higher usage than the whole field in terms of the top plays. The dart value plays have a few guys I havent even heard of, yet will end up in my lineups. The percentage indicates early ownership numbers but as you know, they change and may not be accurate to reality by game time.
DVP
It would appear that TEs have the best matchups today. Surprisingly Denver has been good against the WR1 so Pittman is someone to think through. Usage is more important than the matchup so a complete fade is dumb, but I may fade him in a single dart lineup.
Indianapolis has been weak on the outside routes which favors Sutton. If KJ Hamler runs deep routes, just maybe he gets enough of them to take a shot with as well. However I am personally fading Jeudy unless theres significant leverage come gametime.
Snap Counts
With JT out, Hines is expected to see more routes. Maybe even Deon Jackson too. Indy TEs are quite annoying because they rotate them in and out so much. I think Saubert and Hinton will be two names I think through tonight as ownership and inactives comes out. Granson and Stratchen could also be in play just for the dartness of showdown.
My score projection:
Vegas has the game scoring 42 points- I have it around 36 so if you get a line like that, I am recommending the under tonight, and probably even a Denver win if I had to choose a winner. This also means kickers and defenses are in play. I will never recommend double kicker or double defense or captain either lineups but good luck if thats your game plan! I'm personally fading both defenses but will think about a kicker.. The last time I played an Indianapolis kicker, 2 FGs and an XP was missed which took me from 1st place and a huge winning total at the end of regulation to barely winning when OT completed. #Neverforget
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