Getting the Wednesday morning look at where the field is lacking so that I can find the path to the top of the leaderboard. By now the data has solidified. The process has been proven. The wins have been showing up. Its time for the next step - a takedown. If it isnt me, I hope it is you, the reader who gets there.
The course is scoring friendly. Who is gonna bring the birdies? It is one of the easier courses, wide fair. The bunkers around the greens make scrambling a thing. The only questionable piece will be where the wind blows. Could see 20 mph and thats when things change for me.
Updated: 9:20 pm
Good sized changes
It seems that Willy Z up top is the guy I will take the most seriously. Bradley hanging out and finally Hardy off he top rope!
What you see here is the same chart I build my lineups from. I can see that my top projected winner is Patrick Cantlay, although projecting almost 30% ownership. A decision will need to be made there to either match the field or go all in, or fade, which is always high risk for the top odds.
I can also see that Keegan Bradley is going overlooked for his odds (greenest dot by far). Thanks to the Cam Young fiasco at the Open, I have decided that I will lock in my leverage play no matter what. A wise man once said that "Winners always want the green dot when the game is on the line." https://y.yarn.co/9651c853-4f69-4587-a41f-cda8ffbc26ee_text.mp4
so give the green dot, no matter who it is. If I lose all of my entries because of it, at least I wont share the same regret as many weeks this season when it pans out.
Performance wise, Willy Z has played the best Tee to Green in this field. I think birdie counts, T2g, Putting and Around the green play is where I want the gainers. Cantlay checks all those boxes still so maybe hes good chalk. Adam Hadwin is also intruiging. From an Expected Wins perspective, Cam Young is still riding high. Just not at the same leverage as he was in the open :( Mackenzie Hughes is also lurking out there for next closest in expected wins without a win.
Recent form wise, some interesting names to choose from this week. Infact I will play most of these guys in my pool somehow. Gligic and Hardy are two guys who aren't getting a lot of attention out here this week, yet havent missed a cut in their last 5 outings.
Cantlays head is so high amongst this field that he sorta throws the trend line off balance. I'm a bit unsure how I will handle it. Some other names to consider will be Max Homa and Tringale as they make a lot of sense here.
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