Been waiting a long time to play this tourney again. Last time this event played, I pulled all sorts of stats and noticed how predictable the masters is relative to other golf events. It really came down to 3 stats: History, Par 5 scoring, and GIR. Ill be looking at those stats for this season leading up to the event.
After digging up some old notes, I realized two things: 1. Apex is another intruiging stat at the masters due to the positioning of some holes and 2. This day in history, I realized that Angel Cabrera was in prison instead of playing at the masters.
Updated this chart at 8:59pm April 6th 2022
Hideki off the top rope! Just killed everything as ownership comes in. Ill be honest, I'm not sure how I feel about this. He can kill this course if healthy. He just had steaks and all sorts of food on this menu.. did he fake it last week? We will find out! I'm leaving the previous list as a result.
Previous update:
What happens behind Hideki?
Lots of green around that 10k mark. I am offiially torn. I will probably play Cantlay and perhaps move off Rory with the changes to ownership. It sorta favors Morikawa, granted them odds are terrible compared to everyone else there.
A tidbit for anyone new to my page, the trend line projects the price point for the golfer in this field, and so anyone above the line is considered value.
Updated 8:59 pm CST April 6th
The Core but leveraged list is a bit longer this week due to the quality of field. I'm probably favoring guys who have had a top 10 and are not injured this week. I may even go with folks under 10k only for my primary lineup, just a personal preference to balance things out.
Just for kicks, here are the top 10 of every category that I collected in previous years, using this years stats.
Its not a surprise that Justin Thomas is the most popular golfer, as everyone will look at these stats. Hes in a good spot and per @DKDKS on twitter. So then, we look at optimal percentages in relation to it all.
It is possible that I simply fade everyone over 20% owned this week as no one seems to be highly optimal this week. Rahm is the most optimal every week but it may require some deep sea diving to pair him well (6k range).
Finally - here is my look at everything. The 8k range is the toughest to pivot within to me and therefore it may require a special type of stars and scrubs, assuming Hideki is healthy enough to finish well. We'll see!
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