Very last minute so will be brief!
Expectation vs Salary
QBs atop of the 3 week chart, with James cook right beneath and lower ownership expectation than everyone in the range. That could be significant. Curtis Samuel on the cheap end with Knowx is also significant. The QBs run also so that is an interesting wrinkle.
Vegas Expectations
There is lots of snow on the ground so even though I have both teams exceeding the totals, it is compromised tonight with the weather. I expect lots of running to occur.
Defense vs Receivers
Both WR1 and WR2 for the 49ers are in good position tonight, although that assumes Purdy can get it to them in space. There is a sharp funnel to WR2 for Buffalo. I assume thats Coleman but to be sure, lets look at matchups.
WR vs CB
Confirmed, Coleman should see that coverage the most - Ward is the worst graded CB on the field. It should be noted that Cooper can end up on him at times as they do not shadow.
Immediate update: Coleman is out.. soooo who is the WR2? That is the only WR you likely want tonight. I'll need to look into that.
Redzone Ranks
Samuel and Mack Hollins are the decision points to me here. I think Kincaid might be out but not sure. I'm ok to pass on Shakir for this reason in relation to his ownership.
When Buffalo is being stacked where is the leverage?
Josh Allen and James Cook both have captain leverage. The thing about Cook is that his captain ownership is half of Josh Allen's and that is intriguing to me. Buffalo also has 7 players with points left on the table and that means they are viable for 4-2 stacks imo.
When San Francisco is being stacked, where is the leverage?
I see Purdy and Jennings as having captain leverage tonight. CMC looks like the chalk captain so I"m considering not playing him in captain at all, granted he has points left on the table and therefore is a flex candidate at his high usage. Not afraid to fade him though.
Optimizer Plays
Not loving this. I'm likely to move Cook into the captain spot and not sure on Bills defense or Jordan Mason but this is what I got based on my raw projections.
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